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At the turn of the
millennium oil remains the most valuable commodity to be traded around the world and it is
likely to remain a mainstay of the worlds energy mix for many decades to come.
Petroleum has partly defined the 20th
century. It fuelled the unprecedented explosion of individual mobility that the automobile
and aircraft have brought to hundreds of millions of people and it contributed to a
revolution in modern warfare.
For much of the century oil demand was a barometer of
industrial and economic development. In the post-war period from 1945 to 1973 commercial
energy demand rose by an average of 5.5% a year in the non-Communist world, reflecting the
rapid economic expansion of the era. In recent years the underlying world oil demand
growth rate in industrialized countries has slowed to a more modest 2% but it is forecast
that the demand for oil will grow again through to 2020.
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